Whalesbook
Fed Watch Ke Beech Gold Aur Silver Mazbooti Banaye Rakhne Ke Liye Taiyar
Gold aur silver prices aagley hafte mazbooti dikhane ki ummeed hai, kyunki market participants US Federal Reserve ke Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes se crucial insights ka intezaar kar rahe hain. Ye minutes monetary policy ke bhavishya ki disha ke liye significant guidance pradaan karne ki ummeed hai.
Key Drivers for Bullion Prices
Analysts ka kehna hai ki light economic calendar, jaise pending home sales data, ke karan trading activity shayad kam ho, lekin FOMC meeting minutes December session ke liye bullion prices ka primary catalyst honge. Ye focus central bank ke actions aur unke precious metals par asar ke prati market ki sensitivity ko underscore karta hai.
2026 Outlook: Steady Growth Expected
2026 ki taraf dekhte hue, gold aur silver dono ke upar jaane ki projection hai. Mukhya drivers mein global interest rate cuts ki sambhavna, economic uncertainty ke samay mein precious metals ka safe-haven assets ke roop mein sthayi appeal, aur industrial demand mein izafa shaamil hai. Haalanki, experts chetawani dete hain ki 2025 mein shaandar performance ki tulna mein 2026 mein gains ki raftaar kam ho sakti hai.
Price Projections and Market Performance
MCX par, gold futures ne pichley hafte ₹5,677, ya 4.23 percent ka significant gain dekha, jo ₹1,40,465 per 10 grams ke lifetime high par pahunch gaya. JM Financial Services Ltd ke Vice President Pranav Mer ne forecast kiya hai ki gold prices 2026 mein international level par $5,000-5,200 aur MCX par ₹1,50,000-1,55,000 tak pahunch sakte hain. Unhone note kiya ki monetary policy easing, de-dollarisation trends, aur global trade tensions jaise factors prices ko influence karte rahenge.
International level par, gold prices ne pichley hafte $165.4, ya 3.77 percent ka climb kiya, jo Comex par $4,584 per ounce ke lifetime high ko touch kar gaya. Haalanki central bank purchases pichley kuch saalon ki tulna mein thodi kam hui hain, buying steady bani hui hai, jo diversification strategies aur currency concerns se supported hai. Angel One ke DVP - Research Prathamesh Mallya ne highlight kiya hai ki US Federal Reserve rates ka easing aur aagey aur cuts ki ummeed gold aur silver ko zyada attractive bana rahi hai. Unhone US President Donald Trump ki tariff policies aur Russia-Ukraine conflict se driven safe-haven flows ko bhi contributing factors bataya.
Mallya ko ummeed hai ki gold prices 2026 ke pehle half mein commodity exchanges par ₹1,60,000 per 10 grams tak ja sakti hain.
Silver's Spectacular Rally
Silver futures ne bhi strong industrial aur investment demand ki wajah se ek remarkable hafte ka anubhav kiya. MCX par, silver futures ne holiday-shortened hafte mein ₹31,348, ya 15.04 percent ka surge dekha, jo ₹2,42,000 per kg ke naye record par pahunch gaya. Overseas trade mein Comex par, silver prices ne $9.71, ya 14.4 percent ka gain kiya, jo $79.70 per ounce ke lifetime high ko hit kar gaya.
Pranav Mer ne emerging sectors se strong industrial demand, gold ke mukable silver ki relatively cheaper pricing, aur Trump ke April 2025 tariff announcement ke baad industrial metals mein sharp rally ko supportive factors bataya. Analysts project karte hain ki silver prices MCX par ₹2,75,000 per kilogram aur globally $80-85 per ounce tak ja sakti hain, jo global supply constraints ka zikr karte hain.
Geopolitical and Supply Chain Factors
China dwara January 1, 2026 se kuch goods ki export restrictions ki ghoshna, jo silver aur solar panels, electronics, aur EVs ke producer ke roop mein uske significant role ko impact karegi, se global supply chains mein disruption hone ki ummeed hai. Ye restrictions, jo 2027 tak chal sakti hain, silver ki availability aur pricing ko aur zyada influence kar sakti hain.
Impact
Yeh news commodity markets mein investors, khaas kar gold aur silver se deal karne walon ke liye highly relevant hai. Yeh inflation aur currency fluctuations ke khilaaf hedging strategies ko affect karta hai. 2026 ka outlook continued positive sentiment ka sujhav deta hai, haalanki growth mein potential moderation ko note karna chahiye. Monetary policy, geopolitical tensions, aur industrial demand ka interplay critical bana rahega. Impact Rating: 7/10.
Difficult Terms Explained
- FOMC: US Federal Reserve ki monetary policy banane wali body.
- Bullion: Sona ya chandi bulk form mein, generally uncoined aur unminted.
- MCX: Commodity derivatives exchange.
- Comex: New York Mercantile Exchange ka ek division.
- De-dollarisation: International trade mein US dollar ka dominance kam karne ki process.
- Safe-haven asset: Investment jo market turbulence ya economic downturn ke dauran apni value retain ya increase karne ki ummeed hai.
- Tariff: Import ya export par lagne wala tax ya duty.